The UK is facing more severe storms and strong winds as an Atlantic frontal system approaches, according to the Met Office. The country has already experienced flooding, thunderstorms, and heavy rain in the midlands and southern regions this week, with more extreme weather expected to hit the entire UK. The latest long-term weather report from the Met Office indicates that the Atlantic frontal system will arrive on Saturday and last until at least October 7.
While this weekend may see a more settled picture, high pressure will start building in the south western areas of the UK, bringing cloud and patchy rain that is likely to spread to other regions by Sunday. Unsettled conditions are expected to return in the following week as Atlantic frontal systems bring spells of heavy rain and strong winds. Temperatures are anticipated to be near or below normal, with notably cold weather at the beginning of this period before temperatures recover.
After the Atlantic frontal system passes, the weather is predicted to become more settled, with typical Autumnal weather affecting the UK. This will include a mix of wet and windy weather along with periods of calmer, drier conditions. Temperatures are expected to be close to normal during this period. However, the BBC’s long-term forecast suggests that temperatures could be colder than normal in the upcoming weeks.
Looking ahead to the third week of October, there is a possibility of high pressure shifting over parts of the UK or the eastern North Atlantic. This could result in temperatures staying slightly above average in most of the UK, with drier and calmer conditions developing. Despite this, there is still a risk of cooler conditions if northerly blocking occurs.
The average temperature for the UK in October is around 14°C, with the lower end reaching 7°C. Therefore, the Met Office’s prediction of “normal” temperatures could mean mild or quite cold weather. Autumn is definitely in full swing, and the UK should prepare for more rain, storms, and potential colder conditions in the coming weeks.